Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,582$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(241 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,284.6}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 74.4)}}\) (asimptote \(6,284.6\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $45$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(1.34 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{53.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 55.9)}}\) (asimptote \(53.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $678$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $97,302$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(538 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{573,297.0}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 125.4)}}\) (asimptote \(573,297.0\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,930$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(27.5 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(12.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,572.6}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 83.9)}}\) (asimptote \(4,572.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $43,764$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,984$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(2.17 \times 10^{0.037t}\) (doubling rate \(8.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,129.4}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 86.7)}}\) (asimptote \(6,129.4\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $111$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(0.264 \times 10^{0.032t}\) (doubling rate \(9.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{121.3}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 71.4)}}\) (asimptote \(121.3\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,062$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,826$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(135 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,832.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 80.8)}}\) (asimptote \(7,832.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $130$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(10.3 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{352.4}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 111.2)}}\) (asimptote \(352.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,855$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,664$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(83.4 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,658.7}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 64.2)}}\) (asimptote \(1,658.7\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(1.55 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.3\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,117$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $55,233$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(756 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{126,826.3}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 104.2)}}\) (asimptote \(126,826.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,193$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(78.3 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.4\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $38,304$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,771$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(1.27 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(28.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,587.4}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 59.9)}}\) (asimptote \(12,587.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $845$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(166 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{781.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 41.1)}}\) (asimptote \(781.3\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,504$ on 2020-06-21
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,428$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(112 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,835.6}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 71.2)}}\) (asimptote \(4,835.6\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34$ on 2020-06-21
Best fit exponential: \(0.994 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{64.9}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 93.7)}}\) (asimptote \(64.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,644$ on 2020-06-21
